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Carl Advance Multidisciplinary
Year 2026 | July 7, 2026
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Enhancing National Security Through Prospective Countermeasures to Terrorism in Nigeria

Lekara T. Da, Nna Daniel, C.b, Alabi O. A.c

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Abstract

All over the world, terrorism is a global condemnable crime committed by a loner or group of persons in other to cause chaos, civil unrest and destructions.  In Nigerian, this criminal act has long been in existence but became a national emergency situation since July 2009 as documented. Since then, the government of Nigeria has been battling this rebellious militant armed group which was formed with various ideology and mission against the state of Nigeria. In other for the government of Nigeria to tackle this menace, a federal law was enacted cited as the Terrorism Prevention and Prohibition Act, 2022, which provide detailed legal document for punishment of acts of terrorism and its financing.  This paper seeks to proffer tri-state countermeasures to dislodge terrorism in activities the country, evaluate and analyzed some documented terror activities obtained from newspaper publication, published journals by scholars, and other related trusted data sources.  The study results show in recent times terrorist activities continue to thrive most especially in the Northern part of Nigeria despite national policies criminalising terrorist activities and current state of security measures put in place for rapid response to crime scene seem not to be effective in combatting terrorist. This paper has put forward preventive mechanism, adoptable strategies and non-biased recommendation for eradicating terrorism in Nigeria.

Keywords

Terrorism Countermeasures Prevention Recommendation

Introduction

Terrorism is a worldwide condemnable crime committed by a loner or group of persons which may be either ideological, political, religious, tribal or government motivated with the intent to cause civil unrest, chaos, or destruction of lives and properties just to archive set objectives. The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC, 2018) highlight terrorism as criminal acts that threatens to utilize violence that may cause death, fatal injury, or hostage-taking in order to spread fear just to attain political or ideological goals. Since the emergence of terrorism in Nigeria in 2009. This terrorist group, whose fanaticism deeply anchored on religious ideology began their violent campaign in the northeastern part of Nigeria targeting religious centers, security agencies, government infrastructure, and civilians. in a report by BBC News (2016), this terror group marked a new landmark as one of the top leadings causes of internal security threats, a new era of incessant bombing, mass abductions, and several assassinations that have claim lives and internal displacement of persons.

Terrorist militia group operating in Nigeria such as Boko Haram and Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) make use of unconventional warfare tactics to cause mental and physical damage during their criminal operations, this terror group activity includes destruction of religious and educational centers, killings, suicide bombings, and kidnapping as seen in the case of the barbaric Chibok girls in 20214. their activities are well crafted before execution just to put fear in the people (Thomas, 2025). Due to this menace, globally Nigeria was ranked sixth as cited by Global Terrorism Index (2024), Although the evolution of terrorism is constantly changing in recent times, but their primary objective still focuses on imposing political and economic pressure on government in other to force them to comply to their demands (Enders,1996). The purpose of this research paper is to evaluate and perform data analytics on some documented terror activities, proffer tri-state countermeasures architecture, and recommend a sustainable, innovative, and community-inclusion approach to dislodge terrorism activities the country.

Literature Review

Terrorist activities in Nigeria have been primarily executed by known terror group such as Boko Haram, Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), and other unknown factions. their violent activities have been devastating, forcing community displacement, and slowing downing economic activities and government outreach programs within the affected area. The federal government of Nigeria through its effort to fight against terrorism, deployed military servicemen and establishment of "Operation Lafiya Dole" and recently renamed "Operation Hadin Kai” to dislodge terror groups in the North-East (Ajayi, 2020). Numerous studies show how the military intervention has help reclaiming territories, and disrupt terrorist command structures. However, reality shows that military servicemen on ground lack funding, low morale during coordinated operation, and human rights violations which sometimes set apart local community’s corporation (Erunke, 2022).

For an effective counter-terrorism, intelligence gathering is paramount, the federal government of Nigeria has made great effort in strengthening it intelligence capabilities through various federal agencies such as community-based intelligence service, military intelligence units, and Department of State Services (DSS). the use of emerging technology such as drones and electronic interceptors has also gain traction including human intelligence (Oche, 2021). Despite all this modernization, inter-agency cooperation still suffer setback in rapid response due to slow pace of dissemination intelligence information (Abdullahi & Abdulkadir, 2020), expert opinion suggests for an improved vital intelligence gathering, community leadership inclusion is important in closing the gap between security agencies and rural communities.

Experts suggest that emergence of terror activities in Nigeria intimately connected with youth restiveness, unemployment, indigence, and psychological manipulation. As a result, expert suggest non-lethal solutions such job creation, education, and addressing poverty. Also employing government Initiatives such as National Social Investment Program (NSIP) and North-East Development Commission (NEDC) to help mitigate extremist beliefs. (Ogbonnaya, 2020). Furthermore, counter-radicalization initiatives such as "Operation Safe Corridor" was set up to help rehabilitation and reintegrate former insurgents, while this effort may have yielded positive result, concerns arise on how effectiveness the counter-radicalization initiatives has changed their extremist beliefs and community acceptance (Akinola, 2019). In other to further criminalize this radical extremist group, The Nigerian government enacted The Terrorism (Prevention and Prohibition) Act, 2022, which provides a legal framework for detecting, arresting, preventing, prosecuting, punishing, and financing of terrorism and related activities. In 2016, federal government also introduced a framework called National Counter-Terrorism Strategy (NACTEST) for tackling terrorism using both conventional warfare and diplomatic efforts (Edeko, 2017). Notwithstanding these efforts, corruption, inadequate implementation, and Interference with Judicial Decision-Making lead to Weak implementation. analysts underscore the violation of fundamental rights and absence of formal charges (Chukwuma, 2021).

The involvement of community plays a vital role counterterrorism operation. Strategic Initiatives directed to foster confidence between security operatives and local communities have been introduced. by encouraging citizens involvement, this initiative is tailored towards enhancing intelligence gathering reduce support for terrorist groups. (Olojo, 2013). Nigeria’s strategy for combating terrorism has changed over time from relying on security agencies to adoption of a better comprehensive strategies such as legal reforms, intelligence gathering, social advancement, and inter-agency cooperation. for this effort to be substantive, rigorous implementation, active community inclusion, transparency, accountability from the governance is of the essence.

Materials and Methods

In Nigeria, Terrorism remains a major challenge to national security, particularly in the northeast which serve as terrorist theater of operation. This paper will apply the use of analytical tools to extract insights from documented terror incidents, propose an innovative a tri-state countermeasures architecture, preventive mechanism, non-biased recommendation for eradicating terrorism in Nigeria.

 Data Collection

our primary data source regarding terrorism incidents was obtained from Nigeria Security Tracker (Council on Foreign Relations, 2023), a recognized repository of global terrorism database, and collated data from national news journal. the extracted data was analyzed to understand patterns, incidents, and fatalities.

 Data Analysis and Visualization

A comprehensive analysis of the data modeling, evaluation, interpretation, and examining results from source data was instrumental in this study, most especially refining of news journal dataset. Furthermore, for visual interpretation of data, statistical and data visualization tools were used to analyze raw terrorism incident data and transforming it into meaningful insights which will aid academic research national policy formulation. The analytical tool provided inferential analysis by identify patterns, interrelationship, regional differences in terrorist activities. This data-driven approach strengthened the empirical basis for policy recommendations, making the findings more reliable, actionable, and grounded in evidence.

Nigeria Security Tracker Dataset
The Nigeria Security Tracker (NST) was an initiative carried out by the Council on Foreign Relations’ Africa Program as a weekly survey of Nigerian since May 29, 2011 to July 1, 2023. their mission was to document violence observed in Nigeria as a result of political, economic, or social unrest. this research paper carried out data analytics to highlight trends of terrorism and related activities between January 1, 2020 to July 1, 2023. although the data repository obtained from NST document was an indicative Statistics data collect from multiple sources as stated on their website (Council on Foreign Relations, 2023).

 Collated News Journal Dataset

The dataset compilation was done at real-time from various news journal in Nigeria such as Vanguard, The Punch, Daily Trust, Daily Post, and News Agency of Nigeria from January 2023 to July 15, 2025. For better precision, a data capturing system was developed using PHP/MYSQL database to ensure normalize data entry fields and accurate conversion of numerical variables during field entries. Additionally, analysis was carried out which gave more insights about forces casualties, neutralized threats, and other relevant information that will aid counter terrorism action plan. Table 1 shows the analyses dataset fields included and Figure 1 shows the design user interface for the real-time data capturing of news journals in Nigeria were received data is transmitted to the my MYSQL database.

Tri-State Countermeasure Architecture

This research paper brings forward all-inclusive approach called the "Tri-State Countermeasure Architecture" which serve as strategic security model for combating terrorism and related matter, proper intelligence gathering sequence, agenda for action, Community Involvement, and servicemen. With the implementation of this proposed security model, violent extremism groups such as Boko Haram and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) will be a thing of the past. Figure 2 presents the proposed security architecture. This security model is composed of three Component such as The Community, State Executors (Security forces), and Government. 

Table 1: Database Table Fields for News Journal Data Entry

#

Field

Description

1

Incident location

Place where the incident occurred

2

News Headline

Title of the news

3

Forces Casualties

No of servicemen deaths

4

Neutralized threats

No of terrorist deaths

5

Arrests Made

No of arrest made if any

6

Data Source

News Journal Name

7

Data source URL

Website Address

8

Time

Time the incident happened

9

Date

Date the incident happened

10

Time-State

Time status (Morning, Afternoon, Evening)

11

Month

The Month Name

12

Year

Year it happened

 

image.png

Figure 1: User Interface Design for News Journal Data Entry

 a.        The Community

When it comes to curbing criminal activities, Community involvement plays a crucial role for counter-terrorism operation, especially in the Northern Nigeria where the community remain the first responder to early warning systems and provision of timely intelligence gathering which may come from local leaders, vigilante groups, hunter, and farmers to support security forces operation at the theatre war (Table 2). This bottom-up security model create trust between community dwellers and the security forces thereby making the local community a key player in strengthening peace and stability. Furthermore, it is also essential, the government and security operatives should build community trust, and provide basic training for community vigilante and hunters in area of identification of threats, suspicious movements, intelligence gathering, and to secure at-risk areas.

b.       State Executors (Servicemen)

Security agencies collaboration is essential for an effective counter-terrorism operation in Nigeria. This involves coordinated ties among the military, police, civil defense, and local auxiliaries not limited to groups such as Civilian Joint Task Force (CJTF), vigilante Group of Nigeria, and Nigerian Hunter & Forest Security Service to strengthen rapid response to threats (Table 3). By this collaboration, security forces share timely intelligence, execute joint operations, define operational roles to avoid duplication of duties, continuous training to sustain combat readiness of servicemen, and regulated strategic intelligence sharing with auxiliary groups while maintaining standard operating procedure for collaboration.

c.        Government

The government of any nation plays a vital role in counter-terrorism, In Nigerian, the federal government in recent time has step up its fight against terrorism by providing large financial resources for security operations and establishment of the Terrorism (Prevention and Prohibition) Act, 2022 as legal framework which the enforcement may have been partially executed. These works seek to propose a centralized unified intelligence system called "National Intelligence Service Center (NISC)". this center shall be composed of intelligence agencies such as Department of State Services (DSS), National Security Adviser (NSA), National Intelligence Agency (NIA), Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA), Security Experts, and academia (Table 4). The intelligence agency’s primary role is to obtained raw information through the "Centralize Information Processing Unit" with contributory data source not limited to local communities, undercover servicemen on ground, Local Community Police, and Quasi-Military Units (Man-o-War, Boy Scouts of Nigerian, Red Cross Society, Peace Cops, etc.). the data obtained shall be analyzed and transformed into proper "Security Intelligence Data" with onward transmission to State Executors (Security Forces). furthermore, this center shall provide strategic operation framework base on processed data to aide government security plan actions, founding and updating of legal frameworks to suit current operations. 


 

Table 2: Summary of Community Involvement Metrics

#

Key Players

Role

Support Activities

1

Community Leaders

Leaders (Traditional Rulers, Youth Leaders, Religious leaders) to galvanize community engagement

intelligence sharing,

Mediate disputes

cultivate watchfulness

2

Vigilante

Support community local security

Report odd behavior

Night patrols

Crime Detection

3

Hunters

Perform local reconnaissance

Report suspicious activities

4

Farmers

Denying terrorists access to resources and support

Report suspicious activities

 Table 3: Summarize Metric of State Executors

#

Key Players

Role

Support Activities

1

Military (Army, Navy, Air force)

Leading military engagements and safeguarding volatile locations

 

Neutralize threats

Aerial surveillance

Conduct raids & patrol

2

Police (NPF)

Law enforcement and prosecution               

 

Probe

Arrest suspects

Maintain public order

3

Civil Defense (NSCDC

Securing government infrastructures

Protect key installations

Make Arrest

Work with locals

4

Auxiliary groups

Lead auxiliary support under supervision and provide local terrain intelligence

Report threats

Assist in tracking

Guide Servicemen

Respond to local threats

Table 4: Summarized Matric Table for Government Involvement.

#

Key Players

Role

Support Activities

1

Legal Framework

Update Terror laws, redefine terrorism-related offenses, control national response strategies, Budget for operations, and Procure equipment

 

Establish counter-terrorism laws

Prosecute offenders

Regulate firearms

Place importance on security

2

National Intelligence Service Center (NISC)

Synchronize data across agencies

Develop post-conflict efforts

Generate Security Intelligence data

Community involvement models

SOP for Agency engagement

 

Secure intel Sharing

Support for informants

Develop deradicalization Initiatives

civilians Protection

order

 


Finally, combating terrorism in Nigeria requires unified remodel enhanced security strategy, provision of basic infrastructures, centralizing intelligence sharing, inter-agency collaboration, youth engagement, post conflict deradicalized training initiatives, full enforcement of terrorism laws, improved civil-military relationship, and learning from past less effective security strategies.

Results and Discussion

Data analytics from combine dataset (News journal and Nigeria Security Tracker (NST)) reveals insights into terror-related incidents in Nigeria from January 2019 to July 1, 2023 for NST and January 2023 to July 15 2025 for news journal dataset which shows high terror casualties in Borno State which was estimate at 357, followed by Kaduna which was estimated at 53 as shown in Figure 3, fewer arrest was made as indicated from the dataset. The NST data reveals a disturbing trend in both the number of casualties and incidents, in 2019 alone, there were 1,548 incidents causing 8,340 casualties. as at 2021, this number jump-up to 2,285 incidents resulting in 10,399 casualties estimated which was reveal to be all time high of terror violence. as government intensify all out offensives and a change in military action plan, a decrease in terror activities was observed from 2022 with 1,922 incidents and 9,079 casualties estimated, further drop-in incidents rate was noticed resulting in 3,920 estimated casualties and 860 incidents reported. Figure 4 also illustrated the graph of total incident in the event area.

The NST data further suggests that Borno State has the highest number of casualties estimated at 11,302, closed followed by Zamfara State with estimate at 5,217 casualties. suggesting high rate of terror incident from both insurgent and bandit activities. Other states like Katsina with 2,226, Benue 1,772, and Plateau 1,139 estimated casualties was reported, this result indicate terror activities has gone beyond its original conflict stronghold to other part of northern Nigeria. Figure 5 shows the total causality of the event.

Figure 3: Shows Forces Casualties and Neutralized Threats Over Time

Figure 4: Incidents from 2019 to 2023, Data Source: Council on Foreign Relations (2023)

Figure 5: Incidents from 2019 to 2023, Data Source: Council on Foreign Relations (2023)

When comparing dataset from both NST figures and News journal, result shows that Borno state and Zamfara state appears to be consistent which pose a security concern in recent times, other state such as Benue, Plateau, and Sokoto also showed up in both datasets confirming their importance to be included as conflict zone. Finally, Figure 6 further highlights other possible data patterns such as Morning, Afternoon, Evening distributions which provides useful information about possible sensitivity attack period by terror group and need for state of alertness by servicemen to respond any incident.

 Preventive Mechanism

1.       Deny safe heaven to individuals who support and finance terror groups

2.       Build strong information sharing partnership with local community and improved inter-agency relations

3.       Increase public awareness on the need to report suspicious movement to the nearest security agency

4.       Suppress the recruitment of "Repented Terrorist" into any government security platforms

5.       Decentralized standby ready to engage "Rapid Response Force"

6.       Control and supervise religious activities especially the kind of information they are been feed with which may lead to radicalization.

Figure 6: News Journal Dataset of Incident Report by Time Distribution

Conclusion

For Nigeria to effectively tackle terrorism according this research findings shows that community intelligence gathering is a critical key to successful apprehension of terror perpetrators and precision servicemen interventions. Enforcement of terrorism legal framework also supports government effort in fighting terror activities. Proposed Tri-state countermeasure architecture, if adopted will further assist to mitigate terror activities in Nigeria.  Nigeria can improve on its counter-terrorism by adopting new strategies, implement the use of precision surveillance device, build community trust, increase combat operational funding, and shorten command of forward operation bases protocol such airstrikes, backup, and medical evacuation.

Recommendations

1.       Encourage community based early warning system: This is essential for the fight against terrorism by combining community intelligence gathering, installation of response Communication Devices, encourage neighborhood watch with strict monitoring, and improved civil-military relationship.

2.       Adopting the use of proposed Tri-state countermeasure architecture: Which provide insights on sequence of intelligence gathering and state actors action plan and activities to mitigate terror violence.

3.       Encourage Deradicalization initiatives: Government should allocate more funding for rehabilitation and reintegration of former militants and discourage their admission into any security agencies because they might compromise security details to their former paymasters.

4.       Encouragement of research and development of Surveillance Devices and other miliary equipment which Nigeria is restricted from acquisition

5.       Development of state-owned Electronic Mapping System (EMS) chip to replace most frequently use Global Positioning System (GPS), it has been observed by servicemen that their location is constantly been compromise due to tracking with commercial GPS devices.

6.       Enforcement of Terrorism (Prevention and Prohibition) Act, 2022: with full implementation of this legal framework, persons found guilty of terror offences will be charge according to the law, this will boost Nigerians confidence level in the government fight against terrorism and related maters

Declaration of Competing Interest

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

References

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How to Cite This Article

Lekara, T. D., Nna Daniel, C. and Alabi, O. A. (2025). Enhancing National Security Through Prospective Countermeasures to Terrorism in Nigeria. Carl Advance Multidisciplinary, 3(1), 27-35.  https://doi.org/10.70726/cam.2026.6583004